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Yes, I know, apparently Mathieu couldn´t be in worse shape than he is right now. But still, odds for the austrian ridiculously low, can´t understand that, Melzer with a decent hardcourt season in the US, on the contrary PHM with disappointing results after his comeback, he also lost the first match on clay last week in Casablanca. If he is fit, which I think he is by now, I give him anyway good chances of winning the match against Melzer, imo he is the better player on clay, he is a real allrounder while Melzer so far only knew how to impress on hardcourt, shape shouldn´t be overrated, always difficult to "carry" the shape from one surface to another, Melzer might be the slight fav here but I trust Paul-Henrie will here in France be motivated enough to give his best and win against Jürgen and I give him 45% of winning, so 2.60-> value!

oh my god, posting all the wrong picks at the moment, on the bright side, it can only get better ;)